Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.663739 4.310590 5.060805 6.000673 7.154250 8.533673 10.322611
2025-01-05 2.654436 3.436300 4.453719 5.896761 7.927095 10.737791 15.023820
2025-01-12 2.215423 3.050702 4.222981 6.031728 8.832599 13.146461 20.587902
2025-01-19 1.858091 2.679324 3.899574 5.908866 9.265654 14.905047 25.699039
2025-01-26 1.713857 2.580489 3.939713 6.322968 10.614312 18.486682 35.285221
2025-02-02 1.570188 2.452215 3.900926 6.583674 11.746315 22.005322 46.247217
2025-02-09 1.460908 2.358603 3.896712 6.893540 13.035778 26.225444 60.738765
2025-02-16 1.338934 2.223331 3.794290 6.992764 13.922208 29.876321 75.755981
2025-02-23 1.240329 2.113961 3.718875 7.125141 14.908232 34.092638 94.760975
2025-03-02 1.131932 1.971852 3.559265 7.050108 15.402822 37.268110 112.631872
2025-03-09 1.060218 1.888738 3.501064 7.180167 16.422288 42.231300 140.053782
2025-03-16 0.978346 1.775941 3.366850 7.113257 16.928306 45.938787 165.736715
2025-03-23 0.899985 1.672482 3.261805 7.157155 17.929362 52.229757 211.253308
2025-03-30 0.815011 1.547474 3.098077 7.042865 18.524479 57.810425 262.286886
2025-04-06 0.762222 1.481019 3.050328 7.208651 20.018638 67.574279 351.171799
2025-04-13 0.695328 1.375378 2.896147 7.057048 20.469116 73.682606 429.710496
2025-04-20 0.675711 1.369928 2.974976 7.568659 23.364697 92.426584 642.957355
2025-04-27 0.646508 1.338821 2.986337 7.891442 25.760227 111.152624 916.903157
2025-05-04 0.622419 1.316105 3.014701 8.275753 28.600365 135.183197 1345.484455
2025-05-11 0.588553 1.265912 2.963950 8.398963 30.462902 155.849848 1840.886694
2025-05-18 0.559464 1.223663 2.927726 8.563452 32.616992 181.149231 2577.680334
2025-05-25 0.523353 1.159900 2.823272 8.470202 33.568774 199.576353 3338.299320
2025-06-01 0.499512 1.124229 2.792121 8.631863 35.875710 231.837194 4772.611768